The problem with GW (global warming) is that we don´t actually ´know´; but, hey, that´s how science works.
We ´know´ very little, we have theories for many things, and many of these theories are pretty good, but will eventually be shown to be inaccurate by another theory, that will eventually be shown to be inaccurate by another theory.
Most people, me included, believe in gravity. BUT if Newton´s theory had been 100% accurate then the rate of expansion of the universe would now be slowing, and it aint – probably. One day there´ll be a new theory
that explains this – mebbie there already is?
We have to remember that science is the best explanation we can find for a set of conditions that we think exist. Next year, or in 10 years time we´ll have more information and so the theories will change.
Try this one – how many degrees are there in a triangle? Nearly everyone I know responds 180. Up until about 1900 they´d have been right. I know loads of people who´ve been to Uni, many who have A level (Level 3) Maths, and they think it´s 180.
Why? Because that´s what we´re taught; another is centrifugal force – it´s a lie, it´s actually centripetal, but we aren´t taught that - ´til later. Centrifugal explains what we feel, not what is actually happening, and what is actually happening is Centripetal. In mathematical reality a triangle can have considerably more, or considerably less
than 180 degrees. (Google images: hyperbolic triangle)
GW is becoming a similar issue, certain people want us to see things in a linear manner, if something that was getting warmer is now getting colder, then that ´proves´ that GW is a lie.
GW and weather are almost certainly ´chaotic´. Cuz I don´t fully understand chaos theory I can´t explain it in depth, but basically think of two identical things moving in the same direction, at the same speed, in the same conditions. There´s a force that acts on both in exactly the same way. From what most of us are taught both things will be
affected in the same way; but not in chaos theory.
They may continue acting the same for a period, but sooner or later one of them is going to veer off in a totally unpredictable manner. That´s chaos.
So, we see Antarctica getting warmer – GW is true; then suddenly Antarctica gets colder – GW is false. Nope. If Antarctica gets warmer, then somewhere that was getting warmer suddenly starts to get colder, or two places get
colder, or three ...... And of course vice-versa. Focusing on one area proves nothing, we have to take a global view and that is way beyond me. Mathematicians and meteorologists – and many others – are working on this.
With the vast majority of them believing that the world is getting warmer much too fast, and if it continues then our kids or grand kids will have trouble.
Having talked to one or two scientists, they also believe that something else may come along and blow their theories out of the water, but they doubt it. Mind you, good scientists love doubt, cuz it means that thereś something
else to be discovered!
Try this, 20 to 25 years ago many of us probably believed the K100 to be the best bike ever. We may still love ´em, but do we really think they´re the best bike ever?
hope I don´t live to regret this post!